Missing The Moon

It's taken me a while to get round to it, but I have updated my comparison of Ken Ring's November rainfall and sunshine forecasts for New Zealand's four biggest cities to the actual figures, as recorded by NIWA. His rainfall forecasts are woeful. He gets Dunedin more or less right, and the other three completely wrong. On the other hand, his figures for sunshine are much better, and I can give him four "hits" there. So five out of eight for the month - slightly better than 50 percent - better than usual - but still no real evidence for forecast skill. I'll update with December's figures in January, and then post my conclusions. Regular readers may have guessed that's he's unlikely to do well. And I have to say I've missed our occasional exchanges on the NZ "Climate Science Coalition" web site, which no longer allows comments. They were swamped by automated comment spam, but seemed to think they were being picked on by Gore supporters. Says a great deal about their perspective on life...